Global Warming?
A Serbian mathematician named
Milutin Milankovitch was intrigued by this puzzle of climate
change, and in the 1930s he presented a theory that might
explain it. Milankovitch studied climate records, noting
differences over time. He theorized that global climate change
was brought about by regular changes in Earth's axis, tilt, and
orbit that altered the planet's relationship to the Sun,
triggering ice ages.
Earth doesn't rotate perfectly like a wheel about an axis;
it spins like a wobbling top. Every 22,000 years, Milankovitch
calculated, there is a slight change in its wobble. Every
100,000 years, there is a change in Earth's orbit about the
Sun. Its almost circular orbit becomes more elliptical, taking
Earth farther from the Sun. And finally, Milankovitch
discovered, every 41,000 years there is a change in the tilt
of the planet's axis, moving either the Northern or Southern
Hemisphere farther from the Sun.
These cycles mean that at certain times there is less
sunshine hitting Earth, so there is less melting of snow and
ice. Instead of melting, these cold expanses of frozen water
grow. The snow and ice last longer and, over many seasons,
begin to accumulate. Snow reflects some sunlight back into
space, which also contributes to cooling. Temperatures drop,
and glaciers begin to advance.
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